时间：2026-04-04 08:17:37 来源：Insight Backtest Insights

JPMorgan (JPM) CEO Jamie Dimon said the bank is data driven crypto strategy optimization software for bitcoin tradingconsidering entering the prediction markets space, signaling growing interest from major financial institutions in a sector that has expanded rapidly in recent months, including among crypto-native companies.\n\n“It’s possible one day we’ll do something like that,” Dimon said on CBS on Tuesday, though he ruled out offering markets in sports or politics.\n\n"There’s a bunch of stuff we won’t do. And obviously, we have strict rules around insider information.”\n\nGoldman Sachs (GS) has expressed similar ambitions . CEO David Solomon said during the bank’s January earnings call that the firm is actively exploring the space. “I personally met with the two big prediction companies and their leadership in the last two weeks and spent a couple of hours with each to learn more about that," he said. "We have a team of people here that are spending time with them and are looking at it.”\n\nThe comments highlight how quickly the sector has evolved. Not long ago, prediction markets were a niche corner of finance dominated by just two credible players: Polymarket and Kalshi. Today, competition is intensifying rapidly.\n\nSeveral crypto-native platforms, including Coinbase (COIN) and Robinhood (HOOD), have integrated prediction market trading into their offerings, expanding access to retail users and increasing overall market activity.\n\nAt the same time, the early leaders continue to grow. Polymarket has secured major partnerships and investments, including ties with Intercontinental Exchange , the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange. The company is believed to be valued at around $20 billion. Rival platform Kalshi recently reached a $22 billion valuation following a funding round led by Coatue Management .\n\nThe two platforms take different technological approaches. Polymarket operates on blockchain infrastructure, using networks like Polygon (POL) to record trades and settle positions through smart contracts. Users deposit stablecoins, place bets on event outcomes and receive automated payouts based on verified results.\n\nKalshi does not use blockchain technology; instead, it operates more like a traditional exchange, offering event contracts under a regulated framework with centralized order matching and settlement.\n\nIt remains unclear how JPMorgan or Goldman Sachs would structure their own offerings, particularly whether they would adopt blockchain-based systems or stick to traditional infrastructure.\n\nRegulation remains a key uncertainty. The legal status of prediction markets in the U.S. is still evolving, especially around what types of events can be offered and how contracts are classified. Major banks are likely to wait for clearer guidance before launching products.\n\nEarlier this month, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) took two significant steps toward building a regulatory framework for prediction markets, signaling that oversight of the sector is beginning to take shape.

上一篇：Cango raises capital as it faces NYSE delisting risk with shares below $1
下一篇：OpenAI raises a record $122 billion as revenue crosses $2 billion per month

• ·Cango raises capital as it faces NYSE delisting risk with shares below $1
• ·Why Automated Crypto Trading matters in volatile markets 541
• ·How Futures Trading improves daily trading workflows 950
• ·How Trade Automation supports smarter execution
• ·The bitcoin treasury boom is unwinding as some companies and governments sell holdings
• ·Beginner guide to Order Management 177
• ·Why more users are adopting Spot Trading 891
• ·Common mistakes to avoid with Mobile Trading App 419
• ·The bitcoin treasury boom is unwinding as some companies and governments sell holdings
• ·Why more users are adopting Trading Dashboard
• ·Beginner guide to Webhook Trading 200
• ·Advanced insights into Multi Exchange Trading
• ·Ripple Treasury puts XRP and RLUSD inside corporate finance for the first time
• ·Why Signal Execution matters in volatile markets 507
• ·How to evaluate a platform for Spot Trading 191
• ·How Trade Automation supports smarter execution 435